Solar PV: Next Decade Outlook-seaforestpv.com

Solar PV: Next Decade Outlook Apr 08, 2025

				Solar PV: Next Decade Outlook
			
				I. Technology Advancements：
			
				1. Heterojunction (HJT) Dominance
			
				- 27%+ efficiency, 40% cost reduction
			
				- Superior performance in varied conditions
			
				2. Perovskite ：
			
				Commercialization
			
				- 25% target efficiency for mass production
			
				- Tandem applications with silicon
			
				3. N-type Cell Transition:
			
				- TOPCon/IBC replacing PERC
			
				- Higher yields, lower degradation
			
				II. Market Shifts
			
				1. Distributed PV Boom
			
				- 30%+ annual residential growth
			
				- Policy-driven expansion
			
				2. Storage Integration
			
				- ¥500B combined market by 2030
			
				- Rising C&I and residential demand
			
				3. Global Expansion
			
				- Key regions: EU, US, MENA, SEA
			
				III. Policy Impacts
			
				1. China's Roadmap
			
				2.
			
				- 1,200 GW target by 2025
			
				- Distributed-first approach
			
				2. Global Support
			
				- Enhanced subsidies worldwide
			
				- Carbon markets boosting ROI
			
				IV. Digital Transformation
			
				1. Smart Grid Integration
			
				- AI-optimized VPP systems
			
				2. Advanced Management
			
				- Digital twin
			
				implementation
			
				- Predictive maintenance solutions
			
				V. Future Landscape
			
				- Challenges:Cost volatility, grid upgrades
			
				- Opportunities:Hydrogen/BIPV synergies
			
			- Outlook:Efficiency gains + policy support driving 10-year growth cycle